Woodland also finished ninth at Colonial last year in his only start at the course.
Last month, Woodland placed sixth at the Valero Texas Open, showing he has a knack for Texas golf courses and bentgrass greens. I also love that he can club down off the tee this week, which is a strategy that has yielded excellent results for him. The strong iron play has led him to contention in three of his past five starts. In his past two starts, he has gained 8.1 and 4.4 strokes tee to green. Gary Woodland (+4500): Gary Woodland has been showing flashes of returning to his peak form of a few years ago, and there is reason to believe he may be all the way back. Sometimes you just have to bet the favorite! I don’t see too much value on the board this week, which is another strong reason to hit the top of the board. The Texan is currently scorching hot, averaging 5.2 strokes on approach per start in his past five starts. Do you prefer prioritizing recent form over course history? No problem. In his past six trips to Fort Worth, he has five top 10s including a win and two runner-ups. Course history has proven to be extremely important at Colonial and there is none better (or even close) than Spieth. Jordan Spieth (+800): For me to bet a guy at the very top of the board, he has to check all of the boxes. Pictured: Gary Woodland 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge Best Bets The Charles Schwab Challenge Model Rankingsīelow, I’ve compiled overall model rankings using a combination of the five key statistical categories previously discussed - SG: Approach (27%), SG: OTT (22%), Par 4: 400-450 (17%), Opportunities Gained (17%), and SG: Putting Bentgrass (17%). Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass) Over Past 24 Rounds Historically, great putters have thrived at Colonial. The bentgrass greens at Colonial are in immaculate condition and putters who roll it pure are at an advantage. Golfers will need to give themselves plenty of birdie chances. With equipment advances and recent strategic adjustments, I expect this course to be get-able once again. Last year, the course presented a lot of birdie opportunities due to how the world’s best players were attacking the course. With only two par 5s on the course, par 4 scoring will be even more important. With seven par 4s on the course that are between 400 and 450 yards, I am targeting golfers who excel on these types of holes. Strokes Gained: Off the Tee Over Past 24 Rounds The rough can be thick and penal so finding the fairway will remain important. Historically, shorter hitters who find the fairway have thrived at Colonial, but last year we saw a lot of the players in the star-studded field use big drives to eliminate the challenge of doglegs and fairway bunkers. Strokes Gained: Off The Teeīoth distance and accuracy will be important this week.
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